Gremiovs
Vasco DA Gama
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 9/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gremio 1-2 Vasco DA Gama
Original prediction
Gremio
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 34.3% | 41.9% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.4% | 28.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 36.4% | 29.7% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Gremio
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GremioLWWDL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaDLWWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GremioVasco DA Gama
36.0Attack36.0
56.0Defence46.7
37.3Form33.3
45.3Power41.3
1.25xG0.86