GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Gremio 0-0 Internacional, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Gremio 1-1 Internacional

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9232.2%35.5%3.3 pts
Draw3.0930.4%30.3%-0.2 pts
Away2.5237.3%34.3%-3.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.09 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.2 pts

Projected Score

Gremio 0–0 Internacional

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.3%

Model confidence

35.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GremioDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
InternacionalWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GremioInternacional
35.6Attack36.8
55.2Defence57.5
34.5Form35.6
44.0Power45.3
0.97xG0.90
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