GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 8/30/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Gremio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Serie A, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gremio

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

14.0%

Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GremioWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Chapecoense-scLLDDL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GremioChapecoense-sc
38.1Attack31.7
57.1Defence31.7
39.7Form15.9
47.3Power29.4
1.76xG0.70
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