Gremiovs
Chapecoense-sc
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/30/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Gremio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Serie A, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gremio
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
14.0%
Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00