GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Lorenzo Res. are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo Res. hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

20.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Mendoza 2LWLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San Lorenzo Res.DWDDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia Mendoza 2San Lorenzo Res.
31.7Attack41.3
61.9Defence60.3
41.3Form46.0
47.2Power51.1
0.80xG0.87
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