Gimnasia La Plata Res.vs
San Lorenzo Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0-0 San Lorenzo Res., with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 2-0 San Lorenzo Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 35.7% | 35.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.0% | 32.9% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.3% | 31.6% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0–0 San Lorenzo Res.
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.9%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80