Gimnasia La Plata Res.vs
Rosario Central Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0-0 Rosario Central Res., with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 2-2 Rosario Central Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 33.9% | 35.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.2% | 32.2% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 35.9% | 31.9% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.94 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0–0 Rosario Central Res.
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40