Gimnasia La Plata Res.vs
River Plate Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0-0 River Plate Res., with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0-1 River Plate Res.
Original prediction
River Plate Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.5% | 29.3% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.3% | 31.9% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.2% | 38.8% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0–0 River Plate Res.
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
River Plate Res.
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
River Plate Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80