Gillinghamvs
Port Vale
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gillingham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gillingham 0-0 Port Vale, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gillingham 1-1 Port Vale
Original prediction
Gillingham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 29.0% | 44.5% | 15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 29.0% | 29.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 42.0% | 26.0% | -16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Projected Score
Gillingham 0–0 Port Vale
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Gillingham
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Gillingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GillinghamLWWDL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Port ValeWWWDL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
GillinghamPort Vale
48.5Attack18.5
60.6Defence66.7
48.5Form40.7
52.3Power45.1
1.10xG0.59