GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northampton · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Gillingham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Northampton are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.5 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the League Two, while Northampton holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northampton

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

14.9%

Northampton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GillinghamLLWWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
NorthamptonDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GillinghamNorthampton
33.3Attack50.0
58.7Defence50.0
46.4Form50.0
48.5Power50.0
1.01xG1.08
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