GIL Vicentevs
FC Porto
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Porto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: GIL Vicente 0-1 FC Porto, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
GIL Vicente 0-1 FC Porto
Original prediction
FC Porto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.13 | 13.2% | 21.4% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.38 | 21.4% | 27.1% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 65.4% | 51.5% | -13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Projected Score
GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
FC Porto
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GIL VicenteWWWDL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC PortoLLWWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GIL VicenteFC Porto
33.3Attack83.3
75.0Defence83.3
58.3Form100.0
58.0Power90.3
0.65xG1.34