GIL Vicentevs
Academico Viseu
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 9/6/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GIL Vicente · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GIL Vicente 0-1 Academico Viseu
Original prediction
GIL Vicente
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 45.1% | 49.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 29.5% | 26.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.74 | 25.4% | 23.7% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
GIL Vicente
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
GIL Vicente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00