Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napoli · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Genoa 0-2 Napoli
Original prediction
Napoli
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Napoli
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Napoli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GenoaWLLWD
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NapoliWDWWL
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GenoaNapoli
39.5Attack48.2
60.5Defence57.9
43.0Form46.5
49.6Power51.6
1.06xG1.05