Gala Fairydean Roversvs
Spartans
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0-0 Spartans
Original prediction
Spartans
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.44 | 12.1% | 24.0% | 11.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.27 | 17.0% | 21.8% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 70.9% | 54.3% | -16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Spartans
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20