Gala Fairydean Roversvs
Hearts U21
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hearts U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1-6 Hearts U21
Original prediction
Hearts U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.6% | 36.1% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.3% | 24.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.1% | 39.4% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hearts U21
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Hearts U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00