Gagravs
Torpedo Kutaisi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Kutaisi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gagra 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gagra 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi
Original prediction
Torpedo Kutaisi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 27.8% | 24.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.2% | 27.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.0% | 48.1% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Gagra 0–1 Torpedo Kutaisi
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Kutaisi
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Torpedo Kutaisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40