Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spaeri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gagra 1-1 Spaeri
Original prediction
Spaeri
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Spaeri
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Spaeri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GagraDWWWD
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SpaeriLLWLL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GagraSpaeri
43.5Attack43.3
39.8Defence55.0
35.2Form36.7
40.1Power46.1
1.24xG1.45