Gagravs
FC Iberia 1999
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 8/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Iberia 1999 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gagra 0-1 FC Iberia 1999, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gagra 2-0 FC Iberia 1999
Original prediction
FC Iberia 1999
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.30 | 20.9% | 20.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.7% | 26.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.3% | 52.7% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Gagra 0–1 FC Iberia 1999
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
FC Iberia 1999
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
FC Iberia 1999 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GagraDLDDW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC Iberia 1999LLLWD
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GagraFC Iberia 1999
31.8Attack50.0
54.5Defence63.3
36.4Form56.7
43.5Power58.4
0.72xG1.30