Gagravs
Dinamo Batumi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Batumi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gagra 1-3 Dinamo Batumi
Original prediction
Dinamo Batumi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.02 | 17.8% | 18.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.1% | 23.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.52 | 59.0% | 57.8% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Batumi
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Dinamo Batumi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20