Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newcastle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Newcastle
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Newcastle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FulhamDWDLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NewcastleWLWDW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FulhamNewcastle
33.3Attack60.0
46.7Defence40.0
13.3Form53.3
34.4Power53.0
1.37xG1.66