Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hull City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fulham 1-0 Hull City
Original prediction
Hull City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 56.3% | 33.9% | -22.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 24.2% | 25.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 19.5% | 40.4% | 20.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hull City
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Hull City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FulhamLDWDL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hull CityDLDLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FulhamHull City
33.3Attack44.4
44.4Defence66.7
11.1Form50.0
32.9Power55.9
0.96xG1.48