Fulhamvs
Crystal Palace
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fulham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace
Original prediction
Fulham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 41.7% | 42.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 28.5% | 27.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 29.7% | 30.4% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Fulham
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Fulham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FulhamLWLWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Crystal PalaceLLLWL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FulhamCrystal Palace
33.3Attack16.7
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
26.7Power13.2
1.75xG1.30