Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fulham 2-3 Chelsea
Original prediction
Chelsea
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Chelsea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FulhamWDLWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChelseaWDWLL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FulhamChelsea
48.2Attack67.5
46.5Defence44.7
41.2Form55.3
45.9Power55.9
1.67xG2.05