Fulhamvs
AFC Wimbledon
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fulham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fulham 3-0 AFC Wimbledon
Original prediction
Fulham
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 81.4% | 52.3% | -29.1 pts |
| Draw | 7.57 | 12.5% | 23.5% | 11.0 pts |
| Away | 15.51 | 6.1% | 24.2% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Fulham
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Fulham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FulhamLWDLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AFC WimbledonDLDLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FulhamAFC Wimbledon
50.0Attack50.0
61.1Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
55.9Power53.0
1.60xG1.17