Fulhamvs
AFC Wimbledon
SCHEDULEDEngland · League Cup · 8/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fulham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fulham are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the League Cup, while Fulham holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fulham
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
13.2%
Fulham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00