Fratriavs
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fratria · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fratria 0-0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fratria 2-2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Original prediction
Fratria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.1% | 45.2% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 24.9% | 31.2% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.0% | 23.5% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Projected Score
Fratria 0–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Fratria
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Fratria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60