Fraserburghvs
Stirling Albion
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stirling Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fraserburgh 4-3 Stirling Albion
Original prediction
Stirling Albion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.8% | 23.6% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 21.1% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.5% | 55.3% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–37%
Predicted outcome
Stirling Albion
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Stirling Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60