Fraserburghvs
Cove Rangers
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cove Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fraserburgh 0-5 Cove Rangers
Original prediction
Cove Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.50 | 16.4% | 22.5% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.51 | 20.0% | 21.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.6% | 55.6% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Cove Rangers
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Cove Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40