Fraserburghvs
Aberdeen U21
SCHEDULEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fraserburgh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fraserburgh are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Aberdeen U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fraserburgh hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Challenge Cup, while Fraserburgh holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fraserburgh
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
9.3%
Fraserburgh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20