GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fraserburgh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Fraserburgh are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Aberdeen U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fraserburgh hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Challenge Cup, while Fraserburgh holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fraserburgh

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

9.3%

Fraserburgh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FraserburghWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Aberdeen U21LDLLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FraserburghAberdeen U21
33.3Attack66.7
22.2Defence0.0
44.4Form16.7
36.4Power31.3
1.91xG1.83
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