GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundee II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Formartine United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dundee II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundee II hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Challenge Cup, while Dundee II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundee II

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

11.5%

Dundee II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Formartine UnitedDLLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dundee IILLLLL

GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Formartine UnitedDundee II
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power74.3
1.49xG1.73
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