Forfar Athleticvs
Formartine United
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Formartine United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forfar Athletic 2-0 Formartine United
Original prediction
Formartine United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.9% | 29.8% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.2% | 24.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.9% | 45.8% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Formartine United
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Formartine United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80