GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 8/15/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Fluminense are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Palmeiras are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palmeiras

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

15.9%

Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FluminenseDLDDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PalmeirasDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FluminensePalmeiras
47.0Attack57.6
60.6Defence75.8
53.0Form72.7
56.1Power69.8
0.73xG1.29
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