Fluminensevs
Palmeiras
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/15/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Fluminense are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Palmeiras are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
15.9%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00