Flora IIvs
Tallinna Kalev
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 8/29/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flora II 5-0 Tallinna Kalev
Original prediction
Flora II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.4% | 54.4% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.4% | 17.7% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.2% | 27.9% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Flora IIDWLWL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tallinna KalevLWWWD
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Flora IITallinna Kalev
76.0Attack64.0
44.0Defence40.0
54.7Form46.7
56.6Power50.4
3.10xG2.00