GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 8/29/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Lowconfidence

Flora II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora II

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

6.9%

Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flora IILWLWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Tallinna KalevWWDWW

GF 20 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Flora IITallinna Kalev
81.8Attack65.2
40.9Defence36.4
56.1Form43.9
57.5Power48.7
3.58xG2.14
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