Flora IIvs
Nõmme United II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 10/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flora II 3-2 Nõmme United II
Original prediction
Flora II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.5% | 46.9% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.0% | 25.5% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.5% | 27.5% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60