Flora IIvs
FC Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 10/10/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flora II 1-2 FC Tallinn
Original prediction
Flora II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.8% | 67.2% | 9.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.0% | 16.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.2% | 16.5% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20
GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20