Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flora II 1-2 Elva
Original prediction
Flora II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.8% | 56.9% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.8% | 18.2% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.4% | 24.9% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Flora IIWLWDW
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ElvaLWWDW
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Flora IIElva
82.1Attack52.4
41.7Defence50.0
56.0Form52.4
57.6Power52.9
2.78xG1.72