Fleetwood Townvs
Walsall
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fleetwood Town 0-0 Walsall, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fleetwood Town 1-1 Walsall
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.7% | 31.9% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.5% | 31.2% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.8% | 36.8% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.38 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Fleetwood Town 0–0 Walsall
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fleetwood TownWLLLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WalsallDLWDD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Fleetwood TownWalsall
33.3Attack45.8
63.0Defence79.2
37.0Form58.3
46.7Power62.4
0.64xG1.01