Fleetwood Townvs
Rotherham
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleetwood Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fleetwood Town 0-0 Rotherham, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fleetwood Town 2-0 Rotherham
Original prediction
Fleetwood Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 42.1% | 45.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.3% | 27.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 30.6% | 27.0% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Fleetwood Town 0–0 Rotherham
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Fleetwood Town
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Fleetwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20