Fleetwood Townvs
Oldham
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 9/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oldham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fleetwood Town 1-1 Oldham
Original prediction
Oldham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 36.6% | 34.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.2% | 28.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 35.2% | 37.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Oldham
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Oldham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fleetwood TownDWDWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OldhamWLWLW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Fleetwood TownOldham
33.3Attack66.7
77.8Defence77.8
55.6Form66.7
59.1Power69.4
1.09xG1.22