Flamengovs
RB Bragantino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 9/20/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Flamengo 1-0 RB Bragantino, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Flamengo 2-1 RB Bragantino
Original prediction
Flamengo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 70.2% | 66.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.12 | 18.4% | 21.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 8.24 | 11.4% | 12.1% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Projected Score
Flamengo 1–0 RB Bragantino
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlamengoDWWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RB BragantinoDLLWD
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FlamengoRB Bragantino
65.4Attack41.0
72.8Defence62.8
70.4Form46.2
69.0Power51.5
1.65xG0.58