Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Flamengo 2-0 Mirassol, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Flamengo 2-0 Mirassol
Original prediction
Flamengo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 78.9% | 78.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.68 | 14.1% | 14.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 13.58 | 7.0% | 6.7% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
78.9%
Model confidence
78.9%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlamengoWLWWD
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MirassolDDDLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
FlamengoMirassol
66.7Attack37.5
70.8Defence48.6
66.7Form34.7
67.1Power43.0
2.36xG0.56