Flamengovs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 9/13/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Flamengo 2-1 Corinthians
Original prediction
Flamengo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 73.5% | 63.1% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.23 | 18.1% | 23.2% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 11.19 | 8.5% | 13.7% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Projected Score
Flamengo 1–0 Corinthians
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlamengoWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CorinthiansDLLLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FlamengoCorinthians
65.4Attack34.6
73.1Defence65.4
69.2Form41.0
68.5Power48.8
1.54xG0.48