FK Neftekhimikvs
Ural
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Neftekhimik 0-1 Ural, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Neftekhimik 0-1 Ural
Original prediction
Ural
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.27 | 21.7% | 12.0% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.3% | 24.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 54.0% | 63.8% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Projected Score
FK Neftekhimik 0–1 Ural
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FK NeftekhimikLDWLW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
UralDLWDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK NeftekhimikUral
21.2Attack56.7
57.6Defence83.3
36.4Form63.3
40.9Power67.4
0.36xG1.42