GGOALVIO

FK Neftekhimik logoFK NeftekhimikvsFC Sochi logoFC Sochi

SCHEDULED

Russia · First League · 8/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Sochi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FK Neftekhimik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Sochi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (35.1 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the First League, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Sochi

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK NeftekhimikLLWLW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC SochiWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FK NeftekhimikFC Sochi
16.7Attack66.7
44.4Defence53.3
33.3Form46.7
35.1Power53.8
0.90xG1.63
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