FK Neftekhimikvs
Leningradets
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Neftekhimik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Neftekhimik 0-0 Leningradets, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Neftekhimik 1-1 Leningradets
Original prediction
FK Neftekhimik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 45.6% | 38.2% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.5% | 30.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.9% | 31.2% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Projected Score
FK Neftekhimik 0–0 Leningradets
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FK Neftekhimik
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
FK Neftekhimik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60