GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC UFA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Neftekhimik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC UFA are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC UFA hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the First League, while FC UFA holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC UFA

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

14.4%

FC UFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK NeftekhimikLWLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC UFALDWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FK NeftekhimikFC UFA
20.0Attack46.7
46.7Defence60.0
40.0Form53.3
38.9Power54.1
0.90xG1.27
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