FK Neftekhimikvs
FC UFA
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 8/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC UFA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Neftekhimik 0-1 FC UFA, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Neftekhimik 0-1 FC UFA
Original prediction
FC UFA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 36.8% | 24.7% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.7% | 27.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.5% | 47.8% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.3 pts
Projected Score
FK Neftekhimik 0–1 FC UFA
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
FC UFA
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
FC UFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FK NeftekhimikWLLLW
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC UFAWDLDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK NeftekhimikFC UFA
20.8Attack52.4
50.0Defence61.9
37.5Form57.1
39.3Power57.9
0.69xG1.41