GGOALVIO

FK Neftekhimik logoFK NeftekhimikvsFC Sochi logoFC Sochi

SCHEDULED

Russia · First League · 8/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Sochi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Neftekhimik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PFC Sochi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PFC Sochi hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the First League, while PFC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Sochi

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

13.4%

FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK NeftekhimikLWLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC SochiWLWLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FK NeftekhimikFC Sochi
20.0Attack66.7
46.7Defence53.3
40.0Form46.7
38.9Power53.8
0.97xG1.54
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