FK Neftekhimikvs
Chelyabinsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Neftekhimik 0-0 Chelyabinsk, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Neftekhimik 2-4 Chelyabinsk
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 35.8% | 34.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 32.0% | 32.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.1% | 33.4% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
FK Neftekhimik 0–0 Chelyabinsk
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.3%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FK NeftekhimikLLDWL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ChelyabinskDWDWL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FK NeftekhimikChelyabinsk
19.4Attack36.1
58.3Defence47.2
33.3Form33.3
39.6Power40.8
0.82xG0.82