Firpovs
CD Olimpia
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 9/11/2026, 3:06:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Olimpia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Firpo 0-3 CD Olimpia
Original prediction
CD Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 33.3% | 33.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.9% | 26.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 39.8% | 39.4% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
CD Olimpia
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20