Fiorentinavs
Atalanta
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie A · 10/29/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FiorentinaDWWLL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AtalantaLLLWW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FiorentinaAtalanta
40.0Attack33.3
20.0Defence53.3
26.7Form40.0
31.4Power45.3
1.26xG1.42