Ferro 2vs
Platense Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ferro 2 0-0 Platense Res., with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferro 2 1-1 Platense Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.0% | 34.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 29.8% | 32.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.1% | 33.5% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.96 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Ferro 2 0–0 Platense Res.
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
34.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ferro 2LLLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Platense Res.LDDLL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Ferro 2Platense Res.
33.3Attack24.4
50.0Defence62.8
33.3Form38.5
40.6Power44.1
0.79xG0.68