FCI Levadia IIvs
Nõmme Kalju II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 10/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCI Levadia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FCI Levadia II 1-0 Nõmme Kalju II
Original prediction
FCI Levadia II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 74.9% | 67.6% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.48 | 13.9% | 17.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 8.05 | 11.2% | 14.8% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
FCI Levadia II
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
FCI Levadia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40